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Super Committee Failure Edition
The so-called “Super Committee” did not live up to its
billing as the bipartisan Congressional panel failed to reach an agreement on a
deficit reduction plan. This is not a surprising development. After its
creation, NTUF analyzed the spending agendas of its members and warned
that the lack of common ground on how to cut spending might doom the
committee’s efforts.
So what happens next? Automatic
sequestration will kick in starting in 2013. Unfortunately, this will only slow
the rate of growth of federal spending. This will not do enough to cover the
tab of the government’s unprecedented spending spree that has driven the national
debt past $15 trillion. Responsibility to rein in the budget falls back where
it was before the special panel was created – squarely
on the shoulders of Congress and the President. They can work on some of the
proposals discussed by the Super Committee (not to mention a whole serious of
previous debt and deficit commissions), and there are also lots of ideas that have already been introduced in Congress. In fact, NTUF’s BillTally
program has identified non-overlapping spending reduction legislation in the
House and Senate that could trim $1.5 trillion from the budget over the next
five years – even more than the $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction the Super
Committee was tasked with finding over a 10-year period.
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Table 1. Estimated Annual Savings by Chamber
112th Congress
(in Billions of Dollars)
|
|
Chamber
|
Total # of Savings Bills
|
Non-Overlapping Savings Bills
|
Annualized Savings
|
Annualized Savings Resulting from
Spending Caps
or Rescission of Nonspecific Unobligated Funds
|
Annualized Savings Resulting from
Specific Cuts
|
| House |
124 |
82 |
($597.4) |
($448.4) |
($149.0) |
| Senate |
75 |
53 |
($751.0) |
($496.5) |
($254.5) |
| Total |
199 |
99 |
($851.6) |
($532.9) |
($318.7) |
Source: NTUF BillTally
Sytem
Note: Data is preliminary. |
Through mid-November, NTUF’s analysts have scored 199
savings bills in the House and Senate combined. A number of these proposals overlap
because the same (or similar) legislation was introduced in both Chambers. Excluding these measures, Representatives and Senators
authored 99 non-overlapping savings. If enacted into law, these proposals would
cut spending by $851.6 billion, or $1.5 trillion over
five years. Some of these bills would
implement cuts in their first year, others would spread them out between two to
five years. Most of these savings ($532.9 billion) would be
implemented through spending caps or rescissions of unobligated amounts,
while just $318.8 billion of the cuts target specific programs.
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Table 2. Non-Overlapping House Spending Reductions by Category
112th Congress
(in Billions of Dollars)
|
|
Category
|
# of Bills
|
Total Annual Cost
|
Average Annualized Cost
|
| Agriculture/Environment |
6 |
($3.3)
|
($0.6)
|
| Commerce/Economy/Housing |
11 |
($20.7)
|
($1.9)
|
| Education |
2 |
($0.9)
|
($0.4)
|
| Energy |
4 |
($0.5)
|
($0.1)
|
| Federal Government |
17 |
($20.2)
|
($1.2)
|
| Foreign Affairs/International Relations |
3 |
($3.7)
|
($1.2)
|
| Health |
3 |
($43.0)
|
($14.3)
|
| Homeland Security |
2 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Infrastructure/Transportation |
4 |
($5.5)
|
($1.4)
|
| Law Enforcement/Courts |
2 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Medicare/Medicaid |
7 |
($15.0)
|
($2.1)
|
| Miscellaneous |
13 |
($436.8)
|
($33.6)
|
| National Defense |
6 |
($36.7)
|
($6.1)
|
| Tax Reform |
1 |
($11.1)
|
($11.1)
|
| Veterans |
1 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Total |
82 |
($597.4)
|
($7.3)
|
Source: NTUF BillTally
Sytem
Note: Data is preliminary. |
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Table 3. Non-Overlapping Senate Spending Reductions by Category
112th Congress
(in Billions of Dollars)
|
|
Category
|
# of Bills
|
Total Annual Cost
|
Average Annualized Cost
|
| Agriculture/Environment |
7 |
($2.2)
|
($0.3)
|
| Commerce/Economy/Housing |
6 |
($5.2)
|
($0.9)
|
| Education |
0 |
$0.0
|
N/A
|
| Energy |
2 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Federal Government |
11 |
($75.0)
|
($6.8)
|
| Foreign Affairs/International Relations |
1 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Health |
3 |
($41.5)
|
($13.8)
|
| Homeland Security |
1 |
($0.0)
|
($0.0)
|
| Infrastructure/Transportation |
2 |
($5.3)
|
($2.7)
|
| Law Enforcement/Courts |
0 |
$0.0
|
N/A
|
| Medicare/Medicaid |
6 |
($15.0)
|
($2.5)
|
| Miscellaneous |
12 |
($529.3)
|
($44.1)
|
| National Defense |
1 |
($0.2)
|
($0.2)
|
| Tax Reform |
1 |
($77.2)
|
($77.2)
|
| Veterans |
0 |
$0.0
|
N/A
|
| Total |
53 |
($751.0)
|
($14.2)
|
Source: NTUF BillTally
Sytem
Note: Data is preliminary. |
Tables 2 and 3 breakout the budget cuts by policy area. These
tables only include non-overlapping legislation within each Chamber. Miscellaneous
has the largest annualized savings due to the spending caps ($281.0 billion
in the House, and $406.2 billion in the Senate) and multiple proposals to rescind
unobligated funds of varying amounts. Savings under Health are largely due to
repeal of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act ($40.3 billion). The
House and Senate would each save money under the Federal Government category
through workforce attrition, the reduction of excess federal property, and the elimination
of duplicate programs identified by the Government Accountability Office. Most
of the House savings in National Defense are attributable to H.R. 413, to cut
$36.4 billion from the Department of Defense’s budget.
Very few cuts were proposed for
education, homeland security, law enforcement, and veterans programs.
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Table 4. House Savings Bills Sponsored by Party
112th Congress
(in Billions of Dollars)
|
| |
# of bills
|
Average
Annualized Savings
|
Average # of
Democrat Sponsors
|
Average # of
Republican Sponsors
|
| Democrats Only |
7
|
($13.7)
|
12.1
|
0.0
|
| Democratic
Majority |
4
|
($0.7)
|
16.8
|
6.3
|
| Equal # of Democrats and
Republicans |
3
|
($0.0)
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
| Republican Majority |
27
|
($0.7)
|
5.2
|
47.0
|
| Republicans
Only |
83
|
($15.8)
|
0.0
|
17.0
|
Source: NTUF BillTally
Sytem
Note: Data is preliminary. |
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Table 5. Senate Savings Bills Sponsored by Party
112th Congress
(in Billions of Dollars)
|
| |
# of bills
|
Average
Annualized Savings
|
Average # of
Democrat Sponsors
|
Average # of
Republican Sponsors
|
| Democrats Only |
9 |
($1.7)
|
1.8
|
0.0
|
| Democrats and
Independents |
3 |
($3.3)
|
20.7
|
0.0
|
| Democratic
Majority |
8 |
($0.1)
|
9.3
|
2.8
|
| Equal # of Democrats and
Republicans |
6 |
($1.2)
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
| Independents Only |
1 |
($0.0)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| Republican
Majority |
9 |
($4.9)
|
4.9
|
17.4
|
| Republicans
Only |
39 |
($38.3)
|
0.0
|
9.8
|
Source: NTUF BillTally
Sytem
Note: Data is preliminary. |
Tables 4 and 5 illustrate that the House and Senate still
face the same problem as the Super Committee – a lack of common ground on areas
to cut. This table lists the number of bills with their average savings based on
the number of Democratic and Republican sponsors and cosponsors. These figures
include overlapping and non-overlapping proposals.
Just 27 percent of the House savings bills and 31 percent of
the Senate savings bills had some degree of bipartisan support among Democrats
and Republicans. These House savings would average just $620.8 million compared
to $2.3 billion in the Senate.
Republicans in each Chamber have been more active in authoring
bills to cut spending. There are 83 savings bills in the House and 39 in the
Senate with only Republican sponsors. However, the average number of cosponsors
represents a small part of each respective caucus.
Taxpayers can perhaps be thankful that the collapse of the Super
Committee means that the tax hikes supported by half of its members and the
White House were blocked. Last year the President counseled against raising
taxes in a weak economy, and little has changed since that time. The
unemployment rate is still troublingly high. Controlling spending remains
Washington’s biggest problem and our political leaders should do more than just
slow the rate of federal outlays. The 99 proposals featured in this report
provide a starting point for a way forward to tackle the budget crisis.
About
NTUF
The National Taxpayers
Union Foundation is a research and educational
organization dedicated solely to helping citizens
of all generations understand how tax policies,
spending programs, and regulations at all levels
affect them now and in the future. Through NTUF's
timely information, analysis, and commentary,
we're empowering citizens to actively engage
in the fiscal policy debate and hold public officials
accountable every day.
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research and education organization. Donations are
deductible for personal income tax purposes. Please
make a donation today to help further NTUF's
mission of research and education!
This information
is for educational purposes only and is not
intended to aid or hinder the passage of any
legislation or as a comment on any Member's
fitness to serve. Cosponsor information obtained from GovTrack.us.

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