Press Release
Republican Majority Brings Axe to 112th Congress, But Do They Need a Chainsaw? NTUF Study of Bill-Writing Has Clues
For Immediate Release
(Alexandria,
VA) – Have hard-charging Members of the new House of Representatives
brought a big enough axe to chop the federal deficit and debt down to size? The
National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s (NTUF’s) BillTally report on legislation
proposed during the first 100 days of the 112th Congress has some
surprising answers.
“BillTally data so far confirms that after being
let out of the woodshed by the electorate, the new House majority remembered to
bring an axe to the budget debate,” said NTUF Senior Policy Analyst and
BillTally Project Director Demian Brady. “However, the proportions of the task
facing them may in fact warrant a chainsaw.”
Since 1991, the BillTally cost accounting system
has computed a “net annual agenda” based on each Senator’s or Representative’s
individual sponsorship or co-sponsorship of legislation. This unique approach
provides an in-depth look at the fiscal behavior of lawmakers, free from the
influence of committees, party leaders, and rules surrounding floor votes. All
cost estimates for bills are obtained from third-party sources, Congress
Members’ offices, or are calculated from neutral data.
According to Brady, NTUF’s special 100-Day
BillTally report shows that indeed the GOP-controlled House of Representatives
has proposed even more spending reductions (in total dollars adjusted for
inflation) than the “revolutionary” 104th Congress led by Newt
Gingrich. Yet, these cuts would only
erase less than one-fifth of this year’s budget shortfall, compared to roughly
three-fourths of the 1995 deficit that legislation introduced in the 104th
Congress would have slashed.
Other key findings include:
- Over the first 100 session days of the 112th Congress,
the net result should all non-overlapping proposed legislation pass would
be $153 billion in spending cuts.
- House bill-writing activity also shows a tilt away from spending
hikes. In the first 100 days, House Members drafted roughly five bills
to boost expenditures for every bill that would shrink them. This is a
drastically smaller margin than the 27 spending bills per cut bill
proposed in the 111th Congress. Yet, it still does not equal
the 2 to 1 increase-to-decrease ratio reached in the 104th.
- Republicans have led a surge in the amount of budget reductions
proposed. The average Republican sought $63 billion in net savings,
a turnaround from an agenda of $1.6 billion in net increases in early 2009.
- Democrats have only slowed, not reversed, support for spending
increases. The average Democrat sought $6.3 billion in net
expenditure hikes, much less than the $44.7 billion proposed during the
same period in the 111th.
- No difference between new and veteran Republicans? Both
returning and freshman GOP Members matched almost exactly the House
Republican average of $63 billion in budget reductions.
- Tea Party throws more spending overboard than any other caucus.
The $99.1 billion in average spending reductions proposed by the
Tea Party Caucus was enough to best even the Republican Study Committee,
which came in at $74.5 billion.
- Individually, most Members show surprisingly little initiative.
Even though GOP Leaders claim all their Members are aggressively seeking
spending restraint, a typical House Republican still supported just five
of the 58 savings bills introduced.
- Would-be cutters took aim at health care and defense spending. Republicans
in particular focused on health-expenditure reductions ($44.4 billion),
like repeal of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. Democrats
led the charge for Defense Department savings ($37 billion).
- Blue Dog Democrats proposed $3.3 billion in spending
increases despite taking major casualties in 2010.
“Americans who hoped to see Congress address
budget shortfalls through spending reductions rather than tax increases can
take some encouragement in the BillTally findings, yet they are left to wonder
if lawmakers have brought sufficient tools for the job,” Brady concluded. “In a
fiscal landscape crowded with towering deficits as far as the eye can see,
neither scalpels nor even axes seem adequate.”
NTUF Policy Paper 169, Out of the Woodshed – But
Did They Bring Their Axe? The House of Representatives Under the Republican
Majority Through the First 100 Days is available at www.ntu.org. Updates on
BillTally data for the current Congress are provided through a weekly
e-newsletter, The Taxpayer’s Tab. Click here to
subscribe. NTUF is the research affiliate of the 362,000-member
National Taxpayers Union, a non-profit taxpayer advocacy group founded in
1969. Click
here for more information
on the BillTally system.