Analysis of President Bush’s 2007 State of the Union Address

by Demian Brady / /

NTUF State of the Union Analysis        Download the PDF or .docx

National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s State of the Union (SOTU) cost analyses detail the budgetary impact of all the actionable proposals made during the President’s annual address to Congress. Our researchers identify every policy supported during the address that could increase or decrease federal spending. We then match them with cost estimates for identical or similar measures introduced as legislation, in a previous budget proposal, or in third-party studies. By compiling each of those estimates, we are able to derive the total net cost of the agenda presented during the President’s speech.

(quoted from text)
Annual Spending Increase/Decrease
(in millions)
1“… [F]ix Medicare and Medicaid … .”Unknown.
2“… [S]ave Social Security.”Unknown.
3“We need to … help small businesses through Association Health Plans … .”$6
4“… [W]e need to … reduce costs and medical errors with better information technology … .”$169*
5“… [W]e need to … encourage price transparency [in health care] … .”Unknown.
6“… [W]e need to … [pass] medical liability reform.”($890)
7“We should establish a legal and orderly path for foreign workers to enter our country to work on a temporary basis.”$490
8“We must continue changing the way America generates electric power – by even greater use of clean coal technology ... solar and wind energy ... and clean, safe nuclear power. We need to press on with battery research for plug-in and hybrid vehicles, and expand the use of clean diesel vehicles and biodiesel fuel. We must continue investing in new methods of producing ethanol – using everything from wood chips, to grasses, to agricultural wastes.”$360
9“I ask Congress to double the current capacity of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.”$3,250
10“Tonight I ask the Congress to authorize an increase in the size of our active Army and Marine Corps by 92,000 in the next five years.”$8,928
11“[D]esign and establish a volunteer Civilian Reserve Corps.”$95*
Sources: National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s BillTally, the White House, and various news reports.

* The estimates for these initiatives are based on the level of funding proposed by the Administration in Fiscal Year 2007.

Historical Comparisons

President/SpeechNon-Defense Discretionary Spending (in billions)Defense/Homeland Security Spending
(in billions)
Clinton -- 1999$305$22
Clinton -- 2000$119$21
Bush -- 2002*$55$51
Bush -- 2003$46$6
Bush -- 2004$13.6N/A
Bush -- 2005$12.8N/A
Bush -- 2006$.091N/A
Bush -- 2007$3.48$8.9
* Historically Presidents do not give State of the Union addresses their first year in office (2001 for President Bush).