Analysis of President Bush’s 2004 State of the Union Address

by Demian Brady / /

NTUF State of the Union Analysis        Download the PDF or .docx

National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s State of the Union (SOTU) cost analyses detail the budgetary impact of all the actionable proposals made during the President’s annual address to Congress. Our researchers identify every policy supported during the address that could increase or decrease federal spending. We then match them with cost estimates for identical or similar measures introduced as legislation, in a previous budget proposal, or in third-party studies. By compiling each of those estimates, we are able to derive the total net cost of the agenda presented during the President’s speech.

(quoted from text)
Annual Spending Increase/Decrease
(in millions)
1“I will send you a proposal to double the budget of the National Endowment for Democracy,…”$40
2“This program will provide extra help to middle- and high school students who fall behind in reading and math,…”$320
3“…expand Advanced Placement programs in low- income schools,…”$48
4“…invite math and science professionals from the private sector to teach part-time in our high schools.”Unknown.
5“I propose larger Pell Grants for students who prepare for college with demanding courses in high school.”$200
6“I propose increasing our support for America’s fine community colleges, so they can train workers for the industries that are creating the most new jobs.”$250
7“I urge you to pass legislation to modernize our electricity system, promote conservation, and make America less dependent on foreign sources of energy.”$4,754
8“I urge you to pass Association Health Plans.”$5
9“By computerizing health records, we can avoid dangerous medical mistakes, reduce costs, and improve care.”$50
10“I propose an additional 23 million dollars for schools that want to use drug testing as a tool to save children’s lives.”$23
11“I propose a grassroots campaign to help inform families about these medical risks [sexually transmitted diseases] .”$9
12“We will double Federal funding for abstinence programs…”$120
13“I propose a four-year, 300 million dollar Prisoner Re- Entry Initiative to expand job training and placement services, to provide transitional housing, and to help newly released prisoners get mentoring, including from faith-based groups.”$75
14“I ask you to give lower-income Americans a refundable tax credit that would allow millions to buy their own basic health insurance.”$7,662
Sources: National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s BillTally and the White House.

Historical Comparisons

President/SpeechNon-Defense Discretionary Spending (in billions)Defense/Homeland Security Spending
(in billions)
Clinton -- 1999$305$22
Clinton -- 2000$119$21
Bush -- 2002*$55$51
Bush -- 2003$46$6
Bush -- 2004$13.6N/A
* Historically Presidents do not give State of the Union addresses their first year in office (2001 for President Bush).