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Hard Facts About the President's New Tax Cut Proposal

by
Bill Bischoff

Jan 13, 2003

Even before President Bush officially unveiled his new tax plan, the usual suspects were already reciting their tiresome “Tax Cuts for the Rich” mantra. Give me a break! If you are against Bush Tax Cut II, fine. All I ask is that your stance be based on facts, rather than emotional class-warfare baloney. In this column, I’ll examine the president’s tax cut wish list item-by-item, fact-by-fact. After deciding what you think, please weigh in by contacting your elected representatives in Washington. Your voice could help shape the outcome of the upcoming political slugfest over how best to stimulate our nation’s sagging economy.

First Things First

Before you can even begin to assess whether you favor or oppose any specific tax reduction proposal, you first must accept one essential fact: You can only cut income taxes for people who actually pay income taxes. The simple truth is, lots of people don’t. As things currently stand, a married couple with two young children must earn more than $32,150 to owe the IRS. A single parent with one young child must earn over $19,100.

In fact, many low-income individuals are actually entitled to receive free government money in the form of “tax refunds.” Why? Because they can still collect child credits and earned income credits even after their federal income tax bills have been completely zeroed out. So they don’t just owe nothing. The government owes them (negative income tax, if you will). The point is, you simply cannot cut income taxes for individuals who owe nothing or less than nothing. Sorry about that. This isn’t a matter of fairness. It’s a matter of mathematics!

Even so, the Bush plan would deliver additional cash assistance to many low-income parents by immediately increasing the child tax credit from $600 to $1,000 (more on that later). So qualifying individuals could actually receive substantially more free money from the government than they do now. The bigger child credit would also excuse many more parents with higher, but still modest, incomes from paying any federal income tax whatsoever. For instance, a married couple with two young children would have to earn more than $38,150 to owe the IRS (up from $32,150 under current rules). A single parent with a young child would have to earn at least $22,100 (up from $19,100). Naturally, the anti-tax-cut partisans will never admit this, because it contradicts their stance of “Tax Cuts for the Rich.”

On the flip side, it is possible to cut income taxes for people who actually pay them. However, any across-the-board reduction will, by definition, cut taxes most for those who pay the most. This is simply a mathematical fact! Therefore, broad-based tax relief cannot truthfully be labeled as “Tax Cuts for the Rich.” Instead, the technically accurate description is “Soak the Rich Less, and Give a Break to Everybody Else Who Pays Taxes Too.” Of course, the latter phrase just doesn’t have that energizing class-warfare spin so beloved by the anti-tax-cut crowd.

OK. So much for the basics. Next, let’s check out all the Bush Tax Cut II changes one by one. You may like some of them, all of them, or none of them. Let the facts be your guide.


Eliminate Double Taxation Of Corporate Dividends

Corporate dividends are generally subject to double taxation. First, the company pays corporate income tax on its earnings. Then when the company pays out what’s left as dividends, the shareholders get taxed again. So the same earnings get taxed twice: once at the corporate level and again at the shareholder level. The new Bush tax plan would make qualifying dividends free of any federal income tax, meaning no more double taxation. This change would especially benefit the many senior citizens who earn a good chunk of their income from dividend-paying stocks held in taxable accounts. Of course, high-income investors would benefit as well.

Media stories often describe Bush’s tax-free dividend proposal as “controversial.” Please! It’s anything but. The great majority of reputable tax experts and economists have long believed the double taxation of dividends is an absolutely horrible idea that should be repealed ASAP. Here’s why. First, it encourages companies to finance with debt rather than equity, because interest is deductible while dividends are taxed twice. Second, it motivates companies to funnel excess cash into ill-advised “growth” ventures rather than returning it to shareholders. Bottom line: taxing dividends twice actually encourages corporate executives to screw shareholders by taking on too much debt and throwing away cash on goofy high-risk ventures. Finally, the double taxation of dividends is bad tax policy because it’s just fundamentally unfair. Other types of income aren’t hit with the double tax whammy.

Another very good thing about the Bush tax-free dividend proposal: only dividends paid out of a corporation’s previously taxed income would qualify. So if a company wants to please the stock market by issuing tax-free dividends, it must first admit it earned taxable income and pay the IRS accordingly. This should discourage companies from using disreputable tax-avoidance schemes to shortchange the U.S. Treasury (yet another distasteful corporate shenanigan that’s been occurring over the last few years).

There is, however, a shortcoming here. Any person who owns dividend-paying stocks in a tax-deferred retirement account (traditional IRA, 401(k), and the like) should be entitled to increase the tax basis of his or her account by the amount of any tax-free dividends. Otherwise, the account owner will be taxed on the dividends when they are eventually taken out as cash withdrawals. The Bush proposal doesn’t currently include any such basis increase mechanism, which effectively discriminates against retirement accounts. That’s unfair.


Accelerate Rate Cuts and Marriage Penalty Relief

The president’s plan would accelerate previously enacted income tax rate cuts and marriage penalty relief. The lower rates would kick in January 1st of this year, instead of being reduced in two later stages (in 2004 and 2006). So this year’s rates would be 10%, 15%, 25%, 28%, 33%, and 35% (versus 10%, 15%, 27%, 30%, 35%, and 38.6% under current law). The 10% bracket would also be widened a bit, by $1,000 for singles and $2,000 for joint filers, so more income would be taxed at the lowest rate.

To prevent people from having to pay more to the IRS just because they happen to be married, Bush Tax Cut II would also immediately widen the 15% bracket for joint filers and grant them a larger standard deduction. Under current law, these changes would be phased in between 2005 and 2009. (We should live so long!)

Who would benefit? Anyone who pays federal income tax, with extra savings going to married couples. It’s true that upper-income taxpayers who now pay the maximum 38.6% rate would get more dollars back than others, as they would receive an immediate 3.6% reduction off their top rate, which is more than lower-bracket taxpayers would get. Still, the federal Tax Code will remain progressive after these tax changes are in place (those earning more will pay a higher percentage of their income in taxes).

Accelerate Bigger Child Tax Credit

The tax credit for dependent under-age-17 children is currently set at $600 per child. Bush Tax Cut II would immediately jack the credit up to an even $1,000. The government would then issue rebate checks to qualifying taxpayers to provide the economy with a quick shot in the arm. Under current law, the child credit won’t reach the $1,000 level until way out in 2009.

Who would benefit? Lower to middle-income folks with dependent kids under 17 years old. I’m pretty sure most couples with three young children wouldn’t mind receiving a nice $1,200 tax rebate check later this year. On the other hand, the “rich” would get absolutely nothing out of this deal. Why? Because the child credit is totally phased out for high-income folks. True.


Three Other Changes You Probably Have Not Heard About

The Bush proposal also includes three other less-publicized tax breaks.

  • Higher instant depreciation writeoffs for small business equipment purchases (under the “Section 179 rule”).

  • New government-funded “personal re-employment accounts” to pay for job training, child care, transportation, and other unemployment-related expenses.

  • Adjustments in the alternative minimum tax rules to prevent the AMT from eating up all the savings from the other changes.

The Last Word

Is the president’s new plan really “Tax Cuts for the Rich?” I don’t think any objective observer can come to that conclusion. In fact, the Bush proposal is simply “Tax Cuts for Taxpayers,” as I’ve just explained (and as the scenarios presented below clearly prove). Now, if you just cannot stomach across-the-board tax relief in any form, please be honest enough to admit you are against Bush Tax Cut II for that reason and that reason alone. Spare me the class-warfare rhetoric.

Bill Bischoff is a CPA and a tax columnist for Smartmoney.com

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